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2016 United States presidential election in Maryland

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Main article: 2016 United States presidential election

The 2016 United States presidential election in Maryland was held on Tuesday, November 8, 2016, as part of the 2016 United States presidential election in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia participated. Maryland voters chose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote, pitting the Republican Party's nominee, businessman Donald Trump, and running mate Indiana Governor Mike Pence against Democratic Party nominee, former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton, and her running mate Virginia Senator Tim Kaine. Maryland has 10 electoral votes in the Electoral College.[2]

2016 United States presidential election in Maryland
← 2012 November 8, 2016 2020 →
Turnout71.98% Decrease 2.02 pp[1]
 
Nominee Hillary Clinton Donald Trump
Party Democratic Republican
Home state New York New York
Running mate Tim Kaine Mike Pence
Electoral vote 10 0
Popular vote 1,677,928 943,169
Percentage 60.33% 33.91%
President before election

Barack Obama
Democratic

Elected President

Donald Trump
Republican

Treemap of the popular vote by county.

Clinton won Maryland with 60.3% of the vote, while Trump received 33.9%.[3] Maryland was among the eleven states (and the District of Columbia) in which Clinton improved on Barack Obama's 2012 raw vote total, although by just 84 votes.[4] Maryland was one of four states in which Clinton received over 60% of the vote, the others being Massachusetts, Hawaii, and California. However, Maryland was the only one of those eleven states to have voted more Democratic in both 2012 and 2016. In this election, Maryland voted 24.32% to the left of the nation at-large.[5]

Clinton continued the tradition of Democratic dominance in the state of Maryland, capturing large majorities of the vote in the densely populated and heavily nonwhite Democratic Baltimore–Washington metropolitan area, while Trump easily outperformed her in more white, sparsely populated regions elsewhere in the state that tend to vote Republican. While Republicans typically win more counties, they are usually swamped by the heavily Democratic counties between Baltimore and Washington. Though Trump won 17 of Maryland's 24 county-level jurisdictions, the state's four largest county-level jurisdictions—Montgomery, Prince George's and Baltimore counties and the City of Baltimore—all broke for Clinton by double digits, enough to deliver the state to her.

Clinton became the first Democrat to win Anne Arundel County, home to the state capital of Annapolis, since Lyndon B. Johnson in 1964. Therefore, Trump became the first Republican to win the White House without carrying Anne Arundel County since Calvin Coolidge in 1924.

Primary elections

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Maryland's presidential primaries were held on April 26, 2016.

Democratic primary

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Election results by county.
  Hillary Clinton
  Bernie Sanders
Main article: 2016 Maryland Democratic presidential primary
Maryland Democratic primary, April 26, 2016
Candidate Popular vote Estimated delegates
Count Percentage Pledged Unpledged Total
Hillary Clinton 573,242 62.53% 60 17 77
Bernie Sanders 309,990 33.81% 35 1 36
Rocky De La Fuente 3,582 0.39% —
Uncommitted 29,949 3.27% 0 6 6
Total 916,763 100% 95 24 119
Source: [6][7][8][9]

Republican primary

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Election results by county.
  Donald Trump
Main article: 2016 Maryland Republican presidential primary
Maryland Republican primary, April 26, 2016
Candidate Votes Percentage Actual delegate count
Bound Unbound Total
Donald Trump 248,343 54.10% 38 0 38
John Kasich 106,614 23.22% 0 0 0
Ted Cruz 87,093 18.97% 0 0 0
Ben Carson (withdrawn) 5,946 1.30% 0 0 0
Marco Rubio (withdrawn) 3,201 0.70% 0 0 0
Jeb Bush (withdrawn) 2,770 0.60% 0 0 0
Rand Paul (withdrawn) 1,533 0.33% 0 0 0
Chris Christie (withdrawn) 1,239 0.27% 0 0 0
Carly Fiorina (withdrawn) 1,012 0.22% 0 0 0
Mike Huckabee (withdrawn) 837 0.18% 0 0 0
Rick Santorum (withdrawn) 478 0.10% 0 0 0
Unprojected delegates: 0 0 0
Total: 459,066 100.00% 38 0 38
Source: The Green Papers

Minor parties

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Green primary

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Main article: 2016 Green Party presidential primaries
Winning Projected delegates
June 12 Maryland Jill Stein 51 96% 6 0 0 0 0 0 0 6

Libertarian convention

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Libertarian National Convention, Maryland Delegate Vote (round one)[10]
Candidate Delegate Votes Percentage
Gary Johnson 10 56%
Marc Allan Feldman 4 22%
Darryl W. Perry 2 11%
Austin Petersen 2 11%
Others - -
Total 18 100%
Libertarian National Convention, Maryland Delegate Vote (round two)[10]
Candidate Delegate Votes Percentage
Gary Johnson 10 67%
Marc Allan Feldman 2 13%
Darryl W. Perry 2 13%
John McAfee 1 7%
Others - -
Total 15 100%

General election

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Polling

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See also: Statewide opinion polling for the 2016 United States presidential election § Maryland

Predictions

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Source Ranking As of
Los Angeles Times[11] Safe D November 6, 2016
CNN[12] Safe D November 4, 2016
Cook Political Report[13] Safe D November 7, 2016
Electoral-vote.com[14] Safe D November 8, 2016
Rothenberg Political Report[15] Safe D November 7, 2016
Sabato's Crystal Ball[16] Safe D November 7, 2016
RealClearPolitics[17] Safe D November 8, 2016
Fox News[18] Safe D November 7, 2016

Results

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2016 United States presidential election in Maryland
Party Candidate Running mate Votes % Electoral votes
Democratic Hillary Clinton Tim Kaine 1,677,928 60.33% 10
Republican Donald Trump Mike Pence 943,169 33.91% 0
Libertarian Gary Johnson William Weld 79,605 2.86% 0
Green Jill Stein Ajamu Baraka 35,945 1.29% 0
Others Write ins 44,799 1.61% 0
Total 2,781,446 100.00% 10

By county

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County Hillary Clinton
Democratic 		Donald Trump
Republican 		Various candidates
Other parties 		Margin Total votes cast
# % # % # % # %
Allegany 7,875 25.69% 21,270 69.39% 1,509 4.92% −13,395 −43.70% 30,654
Anne Arundel 128,419 47.55% 122,403 45.32% 19,259 7.13% 6,016 2.23% 270,081
Baltimore 218,412 55.91% 149,477 38.26% 22,793 5.83% 68,935 17.65% 390,682
Baltimore City 202,673 84.66% 25,205 10.53% 11,524 4.81% 177,468 74.13% 239,402
Calvert 18,225 38.44% 26,176 55.21% 3,007 6.35% −7,951 −16.77% 47,408
Caroline 4,009 28.41% 9,368 66.38% 736 5.21% −5,359 −37.97% 14,113
Carroll 26,567 28.92% 58,215 63.38% 7,066 7.70% −31,648 −34.46% 91,848
Cecil 13,650 30.15% 28,868 63.77% 2,751 6.08% −15,218 −33.62% 45,269
Charles 49,341 63.01% 25,614 32.71% 3,348 4.28% 23,727 30.30% 78,303
Dorchester 6,245 41.02% 8,413 55.26% 567 3.72% −2,168 −14.24% 15,225
Frederick 56,522 44.97% 59,522 47.36% 9,633 7.67% −3,000 −2.39% 125,677
Garrett 2,567 18.32% 10,776 76.91% 668 4.77% −8,209 −58.59% 14,011
Harford 47,077 35.22% 77,860 58.25% 8,735 6.53% −30,783 −23.03% 133,672
Howard 102,597 63.26% 47,484 29.28% 12,112 7.46% 55,113 33.98% 162,193
Kent 4,575 45.65% 4,876 48.66% 570 5.69% −301 −3.01% 10,021
Montgomery 357,837 74.72% 92,704 19.36% 28,332 5.92% 265,133 55.36% 478,873
Prince George's 344,049 88.13% 32,811 8.40% 13,525 3.47% 311,238 79.73% 390,385
Queen Anne's 7,973 30.06% 16,993 64.07% 1,557 5.87% −9,020 −34.01% 26,523
St. Mary's 17,534 35.18% 28,663 57.51% 3,645 7.31% −11,129 −22.33% 49,842
Somerset 4,196 42.38% 5,341 53.95% 363 3.67% −1,145 −11.57% 9,900
Talbot 8,653 42.10% 10,724 52.18% 1,176 5.72% −2,071 −10.08% 20,553
Washington 21,129 32.02% 40,998 62.13% 3,864 5.85% −19,869 −30.11% 65,991
Wicomico 18,050 42.42% 22,198 52.17% 2,299 5.41% −4,148 −9.75% 42,547
Worcester 9,753 34.50% 17,210 60.87% 1,310 4.63% −7,457 −26.37% 28,273
Totals 1,677,928 60.33% 943,169 33.91% 160,349 5.76% 734,759 26.42% 2,781,446
 
 

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic

By congressional district

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Clinton won 7 of the state's 8 congressional districts.[19]

District Clinton Trump Representative
1st 35% 60% Andy Harris
2nd 58% 37% Dutch Ruppersberger
3rd 63% 32% John Sarbanes
4th 77% 20% Donna Edwards
Anthony Brown
5th 65% 31% Steny Hoyer
6th 55% 40% John Delaney
7th 74% 22% Elijah Cummings
8th 64% 31% Chris Van Hollen
Jamie Raskin

See also

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References

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  1. ^ "Official Turnout (By Party and County)" (PDF).
  2. ^ "Distribution of Electoral Votes". National Archives and Records Administration. September 19, 2019. Retrieved November 26, 2020.
  3. ^ "Maryland Election Results 2016". The New York Times. November 8, 2016. Retrieved November 13, 2016.
  4. ^ "Dave Leip's Atlas of U.S. Presidential Elections - County Data".
  5. ^ "Dave Leip's Atlas of U.S. Presidential Elections". uselectionatlas.org. Retrieved March 31, 2023.
  6. ^ The Green Papers
  7. ^ Maryland State Board of Elections - Official Primary Results
  8. ^ MDP Announces DNC Delegates, Alternates and State DNC Members
  9. ^ MDP Announces District-Level Delegate Winners
  10. ^ a b Libertarian Party National Convention (Live Video). Orlando, Florida: C-SPAN. May 29, 2016. Retrieved May 29, 2016.
  11. ^ "Our final map has Clinton winning with 352 electoral votes. Compare your picks with ours". Los Angeles Times. November 6, 2016. Retrieved November 13, 2016.
  12. ^ Chalian, David (November 4, 2016). "Road to 270: CNN's new election map". CNN. Retrieved March 3, 2019.
  13. ^ "2016 Electoral Scorecard". The Cook Political Report. November 7, 2016. Archived from the original on March 1, 2019. Retrieved March 3, 2019.
  14. ^ "2016 Electoral Map Prediction". Electoral-vote.com. November 8, 2016. Retrieved March 3, 2019.
  15. ^ "Presidential Ratings". The Rothenberg Political Report. Retrieved August 16, 2021.
  16. ^ Sabato, Larry J. (November 7, 2016). "2016 President". University of Virginia Center for Politics. Retrieved March 3, 2019.
  17. ^ "2016 Election Maps - Battle for White House". RealClearPolitics. Retrieved November 13, 2016.
  18. ^ "Electoral Scorecard: Map shifts again in Trump's favor, as Clinton holds edge". Fox News. November 7, 2016. Retrieved November 13, 2016.
  19. ^ "Introducing the 2017 Cook Political Report Partisan Voter Index".
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