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Geopolitics, AI, productivity, and the future of work—McKinsey Global Institute breaks down the trends shaping our world. Discover the top 10 MGI insights guiding leaders toward bold, impactful decisions👇 1. Geopolitics and the geometry of global trade ➡️ https://mck.co/3VLbZnW 2. A new future of work: The race to deploy AI and raise skills in Europe and beyond ➡️ https://mck.co/3ZZIzEU 3. The next big arenas of competition ➡️ https://mck.co/49Rszbt 4. The hard stuff: Navigating the physical realities of the energy transition ➡️ https://mck.co/49NjcK4 5. Investing in productivity growth ➡️ https://mck.co/4gIopFa 6. A microscope on small businesses: Spotting opportunities to boost productivity ➡️ https://mck.co/404bdUv 7. Accelerating Europe: Competitiveness for a new era ➡️ https://mck.co/3DnXhNn 8. Help wanted: Charting the challenge of tight labor markets in advanced economies ➡️ https://mck.co/3BxkjRl 9. A better life everyone can afford: Lifting a quarter billion people to economic empowerment ➡️ https://mck.co/3VNhDWF 10. America’s small businesses: Time to think big ➡️ https://mck.co/400BzrC And discover the full year-in-review experience here➡️ https://lnkd.in/eihcT4NA

Geopolitics, AI, productivity, and the future of work—McKinsey Global Institute breaks down the trends shaping our world. Discover the top 10 MGI insights guiding leaders toward bold, impactful decisions👇 1. Geopolitics and the geometry of global trade ➡️ https://mck.co/3VLbZnW 2. A new future of work: The race to deploy AI and raise skills in Europe and beyond ➡️ https://mck.co/3ZZIzEU 3. The next big arenas of competition ➡️ https://mck.co/49Rszbt 4. The hard stuff: Navigating the physical realities of the energy transition ➡️ https://mck.co/49NjcK4 5. Investing in productivity growth ➡️ https://mck.co/4gIopFa 6. A microscope on small businesses: Spotting opportunities to boost productivity ➡️ https://mck.co/404bdUv 7. Accelerating Europe: Competitiveness for a new era ➡️ https://mck.co/3DnXhNn 8. Help wanted: Charting the challenge of tight labor markets in advanced economies ➡️ https://mck.co/3BxkjRl 9. A better life everyone can afford: Lifting a quarter billion people to economic empowerment ➡️ https://mck.co/3VNhDWF 10. America’s small businesses: Time to think big ➡��� https://mck.co/400BzrC And discover the full year-in-review experience here➡️ https://lnkd.in/eihcT4NA

The world remains deeply connected by virtue of global trade, but the geometry of economies’ connections has been shifting. Some major economies are moving toward trading more with geopolitically closer partners, while others continue to deepen their international trade networks both geographically and across the geopolitical spectrum. Asia is at the forefront of this shifting […] https://lnkd.in/dfzacd_B www.Cyprus-CEO.com #CEO #business #management #marketing #tech #AI #legal #money

Puzzle pieces for companies trying to navigate #geopolitics and its interdependencies. Links to articles, news, reports, studies, debates, podcasts etc. #technology #globaltrade #economicsecurity #nationalsecurity #EU #China #USA Trade and investment: EU responses show China’s own de-risking is backfiring https://lnkd.in/gH3PV2A5 De-risking is not new to China, so why the surprise at the EU’s new policy? https://lnkd.in/gxrG3UGD China’s Semiconductor Industry Advances despite U.S. Export Controls https://lnkd.in/g3Q2X7Pp China’s long-term struggle to become integral in semiconductor supply chains https://lnkd.in/grSM4th5 Europe is ring-fencing the next critical tech: Quantum https://lnkd.in/gS2xcb7n Export controls: China’s long game to defend its tech advantage https://lnkd.in/gt_TFcEa A World Divided Over Artificial Intelligence https://lnkd.in/gCKTPD8T International AI rights treaty hangs by a thread https://lnkd.in/g7P5cZYW Artificial intelligence act https://lnkd.in/gYbFPU4m Readout of Secretary Raimondo’s Meeting with the Advisory Committee on Supply Chain Competitiveness https://lnkd.in/gKKvhF-3 Competition With China Is Inevitable. US Alliance Policy Could Determine Just How Bad It Gets. https://lnkd.in/gveph3S2 China’s defence budget boost can’t mask real pressures https://lnkd.in/gyrxqynt What’s in the US Intelligence Community’s 2024 Annual Threat Assessment? https://lnkd.in/gXfZn8KN China’s National People’s Congress: more continuity than change https://lnkd.in/g3CZ4sXm

Trade wars, tech rivalry, and geopolitical tensions have increasingly shaped global economics. A 2015 analysis reveals a stronger negative correlation between U.S. technology exports and geopolitical distance, especially without tax havens. This indicates that U.S.-aligned countries gain more tech access. Recent policies reflect governments’ focus on protecting national interests, emphasizing the importance of geopolitical alignment in economic security. https://lnkd.in/ezMHHwxM

Globalization remains at a record level, despite geopolitical tensions and uncertainties and the share of global economic output traded internationally remains close to an all-time high. Moreover, countries that are neither close allies of the US nor of China are growing their shares of world trade, connecting geopolitical rivals, while traded goods are traversing the longest average distance on record, countering claims of a broad regionalization trend. These are some of the latest findings of the DHL Global Connectedness Tracker, a data tool for customized deep dives into the state of globalization and global trade, released earlier today.Developed by DHL and New York University’s (NYU) Stern School of Business, it is based on more than 8 million data points and tracks how flows of trade, capital, information, and people move around the world. https://lnkd.in/gzGWy6ct #ai #dhlglobalconnectedness #tracker #globalization #resilient #recordlevel #geopoliticaltensions #uncertainties #global #economicoutput #remaining #alltime #high #internationaltrade

Wishing everyone a happy 2025. Some questions I'm thinking about as the year kicks off: How will #geopolitical shifts continue to impact #globalstability, #trade and #commercialenvironments - and what are the #regionalnuances and #interplay likely between jurisdictions, especially in our part of the world? What are the #keyeconomicshifts we should be thinking about; how are they playing out regionally, and how do they intertwine with ongoing #demographictrends and issues like #climate, #energytransition and #economicdevelopment, including in #Asia? How will #regulators and #policymaking respond to changing #politicalenvironments, and how might this play out in different markets? How are #media, #technology and #demographic changes feeding into these political trends and shifts - and into #regulation of #socialmedia, as well as regulation more broadly? Beyond AI, and even (especially?) when not shaping whole industries, how is #technology making incremental changes to #BAU, everyday #operations and accepted #bestpractice and, in turn, customer and other stakeholder #expectations of business? How is #strategicplanning itself needing to shift and and take into account so many #variables, and execute resulting decisions successfully, especially when operating #internationally? Truly wishing everyone success through the coming year, as well as health and happiness. Flint Global Financial Times

Yesterday's Economics Nobel Prize spotlighted the problematic intersection between technology and labor. AI, DLT, and others have the potential to open new business opportunities while solving development challenges. But the private sector can't accomplish this without help. This new piece offers three ideas for how the World Trade Organization's members could elevate technology's positive outcomes while building guardrails to avoid its pitfalls. These ideas are rooted in the work many of us did back in 2017 on what is now the International Chamber of Commerce's DSI. The three activities include: (1) designing an agreement on data, (2) updating the governance structure for digital trade, and (3) creating a community of practice to consolidate existing efforts. This is part of the International Trade Project at the Mercatus Center at George Mason University. Check them out for more pieces like this! https://lnkd.in/etDywrs2

Great food for thought in the today's Financial Time: "The great triumph of the Biden administration is that it has reawakened America and to a great extent the world to an understanding that power exists in the political economy, and all of the challenges of the day — from Chinese steel and aluminium dumping to Big Tech monopoly power to recurring financial crises, supply chain disruption and the evolution of AI — will require an approach that puts power, not just price, at the centre of market-making."

"NEWS FROM THE FUTURE: Making China great again US restrictions imposed on the country has bred great companies" "Tech trade barriers are the gift that keeps giving Dateline: November 12 2030 The saying “hard times create great people” applies to companies and nations too. When the US imposed restrictions on the sale of hi-tech products to China it didn’t dream that, ironically, it would have the opposite effect to the one intended. Necessity is the mother of invention." "Imposing tariffs in a trade war to keep the other side down, to keep your country on top, can backfire spectacularly." "So, who really made China great again?" (First published in Mindbullets November 14 2024) Intelligent machines create the new hegemony - China and US reap the AI dividend Dateline: December 3 2030 In the past 15 years we have witnessed the stunning rise of an exponential technology - machine learning and artificial intelligence. Like Moore’s Law on steroids, smart machines and computer systems have created entirely new global industries, turbo-boosted productivity, and destroyed old, industrial age business sectors. The Economist, now a purely digital research and analysis house, estimates the “new value” created by this phenomenon at more than $19-trillion globally. But a full 70% of this windfall has landed on the US and China, which have dominated the tech scene almost to the exclusion of other nations." "Like two gorillas in the same territory, China and America maintain an uneasy alliance. Each is waiting for the other’s first misstep; in the meantime, the dual hegemony is benefiting both." (First published in Mindbullets September 29 2018.) Futures Studies is not about predicting, but about possibilities. Let me buy you a coffee so we can talk more about your future. Surround yourself with the **right people**. Equip yourself with relevant **factually correct** knowledge. And remember, “The purpose of knowledge is action, not knowledge”. Challenge the status quo, starting with yours. #thealternativeboard #strategy #foresight #lifelonglearning #economy #future #business #innovation #leadership #BusinessOwners #businessadvice #TABBoards #tabboardssa