2014 United States House of Representatives elections in Minnesota

2014 Minnesota's 2nd congressional district election
← 2012 2016 →
	Precinct results; Kline: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90%; Obermueller: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90%; Tie: 40–50%
U.S. Representative before election; John Kline; Republican	Elected U.S. Representative ; John Kline; Republican

2014 Minnesota's 1st congressional district election
← 2012 2016 →
	Precinct results; Walz: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90%; Hagedorn: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90%; Tie: 50%; No votes
U.S. Representative before election; Tim Walz; Democratic (DFL)	Elected U.S. Representative ; Tim Walz; Democratic (DFL)

2014 United States House of Representatives elections in Minnesota
All 8 Minnesota seats to the United States House of Representatives
Democratic 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80%	Republican 40–50% 50–60% 60–70%

The 2014 United States House of Representatives elections in Minnesota took place in the U.S. state of Minnesota on November 4, 2014, to elect Minnesota's eight representatives in the United States House of Representatives for two-year terms, one from each of Minnesota's eight congressional districts. Primary elections were held on August 12, 2014.

In these elections, Minnesotans elected their oldest U.S. House delegation across the 80 cycles since statehood, at an average age of 58.8 years: Rick Nolan (age 70), Collin Peterson (70), John Kline (67), Betty McCollum (60), Keith Ellison (51), Tom Emmer (53), Tim Walz (50) and Erik Paulsen (49).^[1]

Overview

United States House of Representatives elections in Minnesota, 2014^[2]
Party		Votes	Percentage	Seats Before	Seats After	+/–
	Democratic–Farmer–Labor	985,760	50.20%	5	5	-
	Republican	913,539	46.53%	3	3	-
	Independence	50,836	2.59%	0	0	-
	Green	11,450	0.58%	0	0	-
	Others	1,954	0.10%	0	0	-
Totals		1,963,539	100.00%	8	8	—

By district

Results of the 2014 United States House of Representatives elections in Minnesota by district:^[3]

District	Democratic (DFL)		Republican		Others		Total		Result

	Votes	%	Votes	%	Votes	%	Votes	%
District 1	122,851	54.19%	103,536	45.67%	308	0.14%	226,695	100.0%	Democratic hold
District 2	95,565	38.87%	137,778	56.04%	12,505	5.09%	245,848	100.0%	Republican hold
District 3	101,846	37.78%	167,515	62.14%	224	0.08%	269,585	100.0%	Republican hold
District 4	147,857	61.19%	79,492	32.90%	14,288	5.91%	241,637	100.0%	Democratic hold
District 5	167,079	70.79%	56,577	23.97%	12,354	5.24%	236,010	100.0%	Democratic hold
District 6	90,926	38.39%	133,328	56.29%	12,592	5.32%	236,846	100.0%	Republican hold
District 7	130,546	54.21%	109,955	45.66%	334	0.14%	240,835	100.0%	Democratic hold
District 8	129,090	48.52%	125,358	47.11%	11,635	4.37%	266,083	100.0%	Democratic hold
Total	985,760	50.20%	913,539	46.53%	64,240	3.27%	1,963,539	100.0%

District 1

Incumbent Democrat Tim Walz, who had represented the district since 2007, ran for re-election. He was re-elected with 58% of the vote in 2012, and the district had a PVI of R+1.

Democratic–Farmer–Labor primary

Candidates

Nominee

Tim Walz, incumbent U.S. Representative

Results

Democratic–Farmer–Labor primary results^[4]
Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Democratic (DFL)	Tim Walz (incumbent)	19,983	100.0

Republican primary

Republican State Representative Mike Benson,^[5] Jim Hagedorn of Blue Earth and U.S. Army veteran Aaron Miller of Byron all sought the nomination to challenge Walz. Hagedorn and Miller had pledged to abide by the Republican endorsement while Benson did not.^[6] On April 5, 2014, Aaron Miller won the GOP endorsement.^[7] Benson and Hagedorn then withdrew, though Hagedorn re-entered the race on May 18, expressing concerns that Miller was not dedicating enough time to the race.^[8]

Candidates

Nominee

Jim Hagedorn, former congressional affairs officer for the Bureau of Engraving and Printing and candidate for this seat in 2010^[8]

Eliminated in primary

Aaron Miller, U.S. Army veteran^[6]

Withdrawn

Mike Benson, state representative^[7]

Declined

Jeremy Miller, state senator^[9]

Results

Republican primary results^[4]
Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Republican	Jim Hagedorn	12,748	54.0
	Republican	Aaron Miller	10,870	46.0
Total votes			23,618	100.0

General election

Polling

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Tim Walz (DFL)	Jim Hagedorn (R)	Undecided
New York Times/CBS News Battleground Tracker^[10]	October 16–23, 2014	329	± 8.0%	47%	36%	17%
Harper Polling (R-Hagedorn)^[11]	September 9–10, 2014	437	± 4.7%	38%	32%	31%

Hypothetical polling

Tim Walz vs. generic opponent

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Tim Walz (D)	Generic Opponent	Undecided
Harper Polling (R-Hagedorn)^[11]	September 9–10, 2014	437	± 4.7%	34%	39%	27%

Generic Democrat vs. generic Republican

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Generic Democrat	Generic Republican	Undecided
Harper Polling (R-Hagedorn)^[11]	September 9–10, 2014	437	± 4.7%	34%	40%	26%

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
The Cook Political Report^[12]	Likely D	November 3, 2014
Rothenberg^[13]	Safe D	October 24, 2014
Sabato's Crystal Ball^[14]	Safe D	October 30, 2014
RCP	Safe D	November 2, 2014
Daily Kos Elections^[15]	Safe D	November 4, 2014

Results

Minnesota's 1st congressional district, 2014^[16]
Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Democratic (DFL)	Tim Walz (incumbent)	122,851	54.2
	Republican	Jim Hagedorn	103,536	45.7
	Write-in		308	0.1
Total votes			226,695	100.0
	Democratic (DFL) hold

District 2

Incumbent Republican John Kline, who had represented the district since 2003, ran for re-election. He was re-elected with 54% of the vote in 2012, and the district had a PVI of R+2.

Kline was rumoured to be interested in running for Governor of Minnesota or the United States Senate. Instead, he announced he would seek re-election.

Republican primary

David Gerson challenged Kline for the Republican nomination but conceded after Kline won the Republican endorsement.^[17]

Candidates

Nominee

John Kline, incumbent U.S. Representative^[18]

Withdrawn

David Gerson, candidate for this seat in 2012^[17]^[19]

Declined

Kurt Bills, former state representative and nominee for the U.S. Senate in 2012^[20]
Chris Gerlach, state senator and Dakota County Commissioner^[20]
Pat Garofalo, state representative^[20]
Kelby Woodard, state representative^[20]

Results

Republican primary results^[4]
Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Republican	John Kline (incumbent)	18,236	100.0

Democratic–Farmer–Labor primary

Mike Obermueller, who lost to Kline in 2012, had decided to run again.^[18] He won the DFL endorsement on April 26, 2014.^[21]

Sona Mehring, the founder of CaringBridge, declared her candidacy, but dropped out of the race three weeks later.^[22] Thomas Craft, who volunteered for Obermueller in the 2012 race, declared his candidacy in July 2013 and positioned himself as a fiscally conservative, socially liberal alternative to Kline and Obermueller.^[23] Craft ceased his campaign after Obermueller won the DFL endorsement.^[21] Eagan quality assurance analyst Paula Overby initially sought the DFL endorsement but withdrew after Obermueller won it and instead became the Independence Party nominee.^[21]^[24]

Candidates

Nominee

Mike Obermueller, former state representative and nominee for this seat in 2012^[18]

Eliminated in primary

Michael Roberts^[25]

Withdrawn

Thomas Craft, IT consultant^[21]
Sona Mehring, founder of CaringBridge^[22]
Paula Overby, quality assurance analyst (ran for the Independence nomination)^[21]

Results

Democratic–Farmer–Labor primary results^[4]
Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Democratic (DFL)	Mike Obermueller	12,361	82.5
	Democratic (DFL)	Michael J. Roberts	2,622	17.5
Total votes			14,983	100.0

Independence primary

Candidates

Nominee

Paula Overby, quality assurance analyst^[26]

Results

Independence primary results^[4]
Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Independence	Paula Overby	461	100.0

General election

The 2014 election in the 2nd district was expected to be one of the tightest congressional races in the country. Kline's district was one of 17 Republican congressional districts to vote for President Barack Obama in 2012, and polling data suggested a Democratic challenger could unseat Kline.^[27]

Polling

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	John Kline (R)	Mike Obermueller (DFL)	Paula Overby (I)	Undecided
New York Times/CBS News Battleground Tracker^[10]	October 16–23, 2014	450	± 7.0%	48%	34%	0%	18%
Remington Research Group^[28]	September 18–21, 2014	568	± 4.1%	54%	32%	4%	10%
Public Policy Polling^[29]	October 21–22, 2013	825	± 3.4%	38%	42%	—	20%

Results

Minnesota's 2nd congressional district, 2014^[16]
Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Republican	John Kline (incumbent)	137,778	56.0
	Democratic (DFL)	Mike Obermueller	95,565	38.9
	Independence	Paula Overby	12,319	5.0
	Write-in		186	0.1
Total votes			245,848	100.0
	Republican hold

District 3

2014 Minnesota's 3rd congressional district election

← 2012

2016 →


Nominee	Erik Paulsen	Sharon Sund
Party	Republican	Democratic (DFL)
Popular vote	167,515	101,846
Percentage	62.1%	37.8%

Precinct results
Paulsen:      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%
Sund:      50–60%      60–70%
     No votes

U.S. Representative before election

Erik Paulsen
Republican

Elected U.S. Representative

Erik Paulsen
Republican

Incumbent Republican Erik Paulsen, who had represented the district since, ran for re-election. He was re-elected with 58% of the vote in 2012, and the district had a PVI of R+2.

Paulsen considered running for governor or the United States Senate in 2014 before announcing he would seek re-election to the U.S. House instead.^[30]

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee

Erik Paulsen, incumbent U.S. Representative^[30]

Democratic–Farmer–Labor primary

Candidates

Nominee

Sharon Sund, businesswoman^[31]

Declined

James Lawrence, businessman^[32]
Don Shelby, former WCCO-TV anchor^[33]

General election

Polling

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Erik Paulsen (R)	Sharon Sund (D)	Undecided
New York Times/CBS News Battleground Tracker^[10]	October 16–23, 2014	271	± 8.0%	51%	40%	8%

Results

Minnesota's 3rd congressional district, 2014^[16]
Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Republican	Erik Paulsen (incumbent)	167,515	62.1
	Democratic (DFL)	Sharon Sund	101,846	37.8
	Write-in		224	0.1
Total votes			269,585	100.0
	Republican hold

District 4

2014 Minnesota's 4th congressional district election

← 2012

2016 →


Nominee	Betty McCollum	Sharna Wahlgren	Dave Thomas
Party	Democratic (DFL)	Republican	Independence
Popular vote	147,857	79,492	14,059
Percentage	61.2%	32.9%	5.8%

Precinct results
McCollum:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%
Wahlgren:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%
     No votes

U.S. Representative before election

Betty McCollum
Democratic (DFL)

Elected U.S. Representative

Betty McCollum
Democratic (DFL)

Incumbent Democrat Betty McCollum, who had represented the district since 2001, ran for re-election. She was re-elected with 62% of the vote in 2012, and the district had a PVI of D+11.

Democratic–Farmer–Labor primary

Candidates

Nominee

Betty McCollum, incumbent U.S. Representative^[25]

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee

Sharna Wahlgren, attorney^[25]

Independence primary

Candidates

Nominee

Dave Thomas, educator, firefighter, and Iraq War veteran^[25]

General election

Polling

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Betty McCollum (D)	Sharna Wahlgren (R)	Dave Thomas (I)	Undecided
New York Times/CBS News Battleground Tracker^[10]	October 16–23, 2014	251	± 9.0%	56%	32%	1%	11%

Results

Minnesota's 4th congressional district, 2014^[16]
Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Democratic (DFL)	Betty McCollum (incumbent)	147,857	61.2
	Republican	Sharna Wahlgren	79,492	32.9
	Independence	Dave Thomas	14,059	5.8
	Write-in		229	0.1
Total votes			241,637	100.0
	Democratic (DFL) hold

District 5

2014 Minnesota's 5th congressional district election

← 2012

2016 →


Nominee	Keith Ellison	Doug Daggett	Lee Bauer
Party	Democratic (DFL)	Republican	Independence
Popular vote	167,079	56,577	12,001
Percentage	70.8%	24.0%	5.1%

Precinct results
Ellison:      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      >90%
Daggett:      40–50%      50–60%
     No votes

U.S. Representative before election

Keith Ellison
Democratic (DFL)

Elected U.S. Representative

Keith Ellison
Democratic (DFL)

Incumbent Democrat Keith Ellison, who had represented the district since 2007, ran for re-election. He was re-elected with 75% of the vote in 2012, and the district had a PVI of D+22.

Democratic–Farmer–Labor primary

Candidates

Nominee

Keith Ellison, incumbent U.S. Representative^[25]

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee

Doug Daggett, sales rep^[25]

Independence primary

Candidates

Nominee

Lee Bauer, machinist^[25]

General election

Polling

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Keith Ellison (D)	Doug Daggett (R)	Lee Bauer (I)	Undecided
New York Times/CBS News Battleground Tracker^[10]	October 16–23, 2014	266	± 9.0%	74%	23%	1%	3%

Results

Minnesota's 5th congressional district, 2014^[16]
Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Democratic (DFL)	Keith Ellison (incumbent)	167,079	70.8
	Republican	Doug Daggett	56,577	24.0
	Independence	Lee Bauer	12,001	5.1
	Write-in		353	0.1
Total votes			236,010	100.0
	Democratic (DFL) hold

District 6

2014 Minnesota's 6th congressional district election

← 2012

2016 →


Nominee	Tom Emmer	Joe Perske	John Denney
Party	Republican	Democratic (DFL)	Independence
Popular vote	133,328	90,926	12,457
Percentage	56.3%	38.4%	5.2%

Precinct results
Emmer:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      >90%
Perske:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      80–90%
Tie:      50%
     No votes

U.S. Representative before election

Michele Bachmann
Republican

Elected U.S. Representative

Tom Emmer
Republican

Incumbent Republican Michele Bachmann, who had represented the district since 2007, ran for re-election. She was re-elected with 51% of the vote in 2012, and the district had a PVI of R+10.

Bachmann had won re-election to a fourth term in 2012, defeating DFL nominee Jim Graves by approximately 1.2 points, despite Mitt Romney receiving 56% of the vote in this district in the 2012 presidential election. Facing a rematch with Graves, Bachmann announced on May 29, 2013, that she would not seek re-election.^[34]

Republican primary

Former state representative and 2010 gubernatorial nominee Tom Emmer and Anoka County Commissioner Rhonda Sivarajah sought the Republican nomination.^[35]^[36]^[37] Allan Levene, a Kennesaw, Georgia, resident who sought the Republican nomination in four congressional districts in four separate states, including Minnesota, ultimately did not file an affidavit of candidacy.^[38]

Candidates

Nominee

Tom Emmer, former state representative and nominee for Governor in 2010^[35]

Eliminated in primary

Rhonda Sivarajah, Anoka County Commissioner^[36]

Withdrawn

Phil Krinkie, former state representative^[39]
Allan Levene, resident of Georgia running in three other congressional races^[38]
John Pederson, state senator^[40]

Declined

Michele Bachmann, incumbent U.S. Representative^[34]

Polling

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Tom Emmer	Phil Krinkie	Rhonda Sivarajah	Undecided
Public Opinion Strategies (R-Emmer)^[41]	April 16–17, 2014	300	± 5.7%	73%	4%	5%	18%

Results

Republican primary results^[4]
Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Republican	Tom Emmer	19,557	73.3
	Republican	Rhonda Sivarajah	7,125	26.7
Total votes			26,682	100.0

Democratic–Farmer–Labor primary

Jim Graves, who had previously said he would run again, said he would continue to run after Bachmann retired.^[42] However, on May 31, 2013, Graves announced that he was suspending his campaign.^[43]

Joe Perske, Mayor of Sartell, Minnesota, was the DFL endorsed candidate and nominee. Judy Adams, a painter and environmental activist, and Jim Read, an author and professor of political science at the College of Saint Benedict and Saint John's University, both withdrew after failing to win the DFL endorsement.^[44]^[45]^[46]^[47]

Candidates

Nominee

Joe Perske, Mayor of Sartell^[45]

Withdrawn

Judy Adams, environmental activist^[44]^[47]
Jim Graves, businessman and nominee for the seat in 2012^[43]
Jim Read, professor at the College of Saint Benedict and Saint John's University^[46]^[47]

Results

Democratic–Farmer–Labor primary results^[4]
Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Democratic (DFL)	Joe Perske	10,070	100.0

Independence primary

Candidates

Nominee

John Denney, law student^[25]

Results

Independence primary results^[4]
Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Independence	John Denney	467	100.0

General election

Endorsements

Tom Emmer (R)

Organizations

National Republican Congressional Committee "Vanguard" Program^[48]

Polling

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Tom Emmer (R)	Joe Perske (D)	John Denney (I)	Undecided
New York Times/CBS News Battleground Tracker^[10]	October 16–23, 2014	175	± 10.0%	57%	37%	0%	6%

Results

Minnesota's 6th congressional district, 2014^[16]
Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Republican	Tom Emmer	133,328	56.3
	Democratic (DFL)	Joe Perske	90,926	38.4
	Independence	John Denney	12,457	5.2
	Write-in		135	0.1
Total votes			236,846	100.0
	Republican hold

District 7

2014 Minnesota's 7th congressional district election

← 2012

2016 →


Nominee	Collin Peterson	Torrey Westrom
Party	Democratic (DFL)	Republican
Popular vote	130,546	109,955
Percentage	54.2%	45.7%

Precinct results
Peterson:      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      >90%
Westrom:      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      >90%
Tie:      40–50%      50%
     No votes

U.S. Representative before election

Collin Peterson
Democratic (DFL)

Elected U.S. Representative

Collin Peterson
Democratic (DFL)

The 7th district covers almost the entire western side of Minnesota. It is the largest district in the state and one of the largest in the country and includes the cities of Moorhead, Willmar, Alexandria, and Fergus Falls. Incumbent Democrat Collin Peterson, who had represented the district since 1991, ran for re-election. He was re-elected with 60% of the vote in 2012 and the district had a PVI of R+6.

Democratic–Farmer–Labor primary

In 2013, Republicans began pressuring Peterson, in hopes of convincing him to retire. His seat was one of only a handful that was represented by a Democrat but was carried by Republican presidential nominee Mitt Romney in the 2012 election and was seen as a top pick-up opportunity had Peterson retired. Their tactics included airing television advertisements, hiring a press staffer to give opposition research to reporters, hiring a tracker to follow him around his district and record him, and sending mobile billboards with critical statements on them to drive around his hometown. Peterson responded by saying "They don't have anybody else to go after. It's kind of ridiculous, but whatever."^[49]^[50] After Republicans spread rumors that Peterson was planning to buy a house in Florida and retire there, he said: "I went from neutral on running again to 90 percent just because of this stupid stuff they're doing. You can't let these people be in charge of anything, in my opinion."^[51] On March 17, 2014, Peterson officially announced that he was running for re-election, saying, "I still have a lot of work to do."^[52]

Candidates

Nominee

Collin Peterson, incumbent U.S. Representative^[52]

Declined

Paul Marquart, state representative^[20]

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee

Torrey Westrom, state senator^[53]

Declined

Dan Fabian, state representative^[20]
Mary Franson, state representative^[20]
Bill Ingebrigtsen, state senator^[20]
Morrie Lanning, former state representative^[20]
Marty Seifert, former Minority Leader of the Minnesota House of Representatives and candidate for Governor of Minnesota in 2010 and 2014^[20]
Scott Van Binsbergen, businessman^[20]

General election

Endorsements

Torrey Westrom (R)

Organizations

National Republican Congressional Committee "Young Guns" Program^[48]

Polling

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Collin Peterson (DFL)	Torrey Westrom (R)	Undecided
New York Times/CBS News Battleground Tracker^[10]	October 16–23, 2014	313	± 8.0%	46%	44%	10%
Tarrance Group (R-NRCC)^[54]	October 12–14, 2014	300	± 5.8%	43%	44%	13%
SurveyUSA^[55]	October 3–6, 2014	545	± 4.3%	50%	41%	10%
Tarrance Group (R-Westrom)^[56]	September 21–23, 2014	402	± 4.9%	45%	40%	15%
Global Strategy Group (D-Peterson)^[57]	September 4–7, 2014	405	± 4.9%	53%	29%	18%
Tarrance Group (R-Westrom)^[58]	February 3–5, 2014	400	± 4.9%	46%	39%	15%

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
The Cook Political Report^[12]	Lean D	November 3, 2014
Rothenberg^[13]	Lean D	October 24, 2014
Sabato's Crystal Ball^[14]	Lean D	October 30, 2014
RCP	Lean D	November 2, 2014
Daily Kos Elections^[15]	Tossup	November 4, 2014

Results

Minnesota's 7th congressional district, 2014^[16]
Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Democratic (DFL)	Collin Peterson (incumbent)	130,546	54.2
	Republican	Torrey Westrom	109,955	45.7
	Write-in		334	0.1
Total votes			240,835	100.0
	Democratic (DFL) hold

District 8

2014 Minnesota's 8th congressional district election

← 2012

2016 →


Nominee	Rick Nolan	Stewart Mills III
Party	Democratic (DFL)	Republican
Popular vote	129,090	125,358
Percentage	48.5%	47.1%

Precinct results
Nolan:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      >90%
Mills:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      >90%
Tie:      40–50%      50%
     No votes

U.S. Representative before election

Rick Nolan
Democratic (DFL)

Elected U.S. Representative

Rick Nolan
Democratic (DFL)

Incumbent Democrat Rick Nolan, who had represented the district since 2013, ran for re-election. He was elected with 54% of the vote in 2012, and the district had a PVI of D+1.

Democratic–Farmer–Labor primary

Candidates

Nominee

Rick Nolan, incumbent U.S. Representative^[25]

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee

Stewart Mills III, Mills Fleet Farm executive^[59]

Green Party

Candidates

Nominee

Skip Sandman

General election

Endorsements

Rick Nolan (D)

Organizations

Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee "Frontline" Program^[60]

Stewart Mills (R)

Organizations

National Republican Congressional Committee "Young Guns" Program^[48]

Polling

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Rick Nolan (DFL)	Stewart Mills (R)	Skip Sandman (G)	Undecided
New York Times/CBS News Battleground Tracker^[10]	October 16–23, 2014	375	± 7.0%	47%	42%	1%	9%
KSTP/SurveyUSA^[61]	October 9–12, 2014	555	± 4.2%	39%	47%	4%	11%
Greenberg Quinlan Rosner (D-DCCC)^[62]	September 25–28, 2014	405	± 4.9%	48%	37%	7%	9%

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
The Cook Political Report^[12]	Tossup	November 3, 2014
Rothenberg^[13]	Tossup	October 24, 2014
Sabato's Crystal Ball^[14]	Lean R (flip)	October 30, 2014
RCP	Tossup	November 2, 2014
Daily Kos Elections^[15]	Tossup	November 4, 2014

Results

Minnesota's 8th congressional district, 2014^[16]
Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Democratic (DFL)	Rick Nolan (incumbent)	129,090	48.5
	Republican	Stewart Mills III	125,358	47.1
	Green	Skip Sandman	11,450	4.3
	Write-in		185	0.1
Total votes			266,083	100.0
	Democratic (DFL) hold

References

^ Ostermeier, Eric (November 13, 2014). "Minnesotans Elect Oldest Governor, US House Delegation in State History". Smart Politics.
^ "Election Statistics: 1920 to Present | US House of Representatives: History, Art & Archives".
^ Haas, Karen L. (March 9, 2015). "Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 4, 2014". Clerk of the U.S. House of Representatives. Retrieved October 28, 2019.
^ ^a ^b ^c ^d ^e ^f ^g ^h "Results for All Congressional Districts, Primary Election". Minnesota Secretary of State. Retrieved August 20, 2014.
^ Carlson, Heather J. (June 17, 2013). "Benson to run for Congress against Walz". Post-Bulletin. Retrieved June 17, 2013.
^ ^a ^b Baier, Elizabeth (September 4, 2013). "Hagedorn launches bid to challenge Walz". Minnesota Public Radio. Retrieved November 27, 2013.
^ ^a ^b Carlson, Heather J. (April 5, 2014). "Miller wins Republican endorsement". Post-Bulletin. Retrieved August 10, 2014.
^ ^a ^b Moniz, Josh (May 18, 2014). "Hagedorn re-entering 1st District race". The Free Press. Retrieved May 20, 2014.
^ Juhl, Mary (June 15, 2013). "Thanks, but no thanks: Miller won't take on Walz in '14 but isn't ruling out future run". Winona Daily News. Retrieved January 27, 2014.
^ ^a ^b ^c ^d ^e ^f ^g ^h New York Times/CBS News Battleground Tracker
^ ^a ^b ^c Harper Polling (R-Hagedorn)
^ ^a ^b ^c "2014 House Race Ratings for November 3, 2014". House: Race Ratings. Cook Political Report. Retrieved November 3, 2014.
^ ^a ^b ^c "2014 House Ratings (October 24, 2014)". House Ratings. The Rothenberg Political Report. Retrieved October 24, 2014.
^ ^a ^b ^c "2014 House". Sabato's Crystal Ball. April 10, 2014. Retrieved April 11, 2014.
^ ^a ^b ^c "Daily Kos Elections House race ratings: Initial ratings for 2014". Daily Kos Elections. Retrieved November 4, 2014.
^ ^a ^b ^c ^d ^e ^f ^g ^h "Results for All Congressional Districts, 2014". Minnesota Secretary of State. Retrieved January 8, 2015.
^ ^a ^b Zdechlik, Mark (April 5, 2014). "Rep. John Kline endorsed for seventh term". Minnesota Public Radio. Retrieved August 11, 2014.
^ ^a ^b ^c Stassen-Berger, Rachel E. (April 19, 2013). "Kline to seek re-election, not Senate or governor's office". Star Tribune. Retrieved April 22, 2013.
^ Henry, Devin (December 9, 2013). "David Gerson launches second challenge to Kline". MinnPost. Retrieved January 27, 2014.
^ ^a ^b ^c ^d ^e ^f ^g ^h ⁱ ^j ^k Cahn, Emily (September 18, 2013). "Minnesota Politicians Wait for Kline, Peterson Exits to Ascend". Roll Call. Retrieved January 27, 2014.
^ ^a ^b ^c ^d ^e Salisbury, Bill (April 26, 2014). "Obermueller wins DFL bid to take on Kline". Pioneer Press. Retrieved August 11, 2014.
^ ^a ^b Boldt, Megan (April 24, 2013). "CaringBridge founder Sona Mehring drops out of congressional race". Pioneer Press. Retrieved May 29, 2013.
^ Bierschbach, Briana (July 10, 2013). "Kline gets a second DFL challenger: Thomas Craft". Politics in Minnesota. Retrieved January 27, 2014.
^ Magan, Christopher (August 11, 2013). "Eagan woman doesn't want gender identity to define impending run for Congress". Pioneer Press. Retrieved January 27, 2014.
^ ^a ^b ^c ^d ^e ^f ^g ^h ⁱ "2014 State General Election Candidate Filings, U.S. Representatives". Minnesota Secretary of State. Retrieved August 11, 2014.
^ Magan, Christopher (June 9, 2014). "Independence Party endorses Paula Overby for Congress". Pioneer Press. Retrieved August 11, 2014.
^ Mitchell, Corey (October 26, 2013). "Fierce re-election battle forecast for Kline". Star Tribune. Retrieved January 27, 2014.
^ Remington Research Group
^ Public Policy Polling
^ ^a ^b Diaz, Kevin (May 13, 2013). "U.S. Rep. Paulsen rules out run for Minnesota governor or U.S. Senate". Star Tribune. Retrieved May 29, 2013.
^ Zdechlik, Mark (March 13, 2014). "Plymouth businesswoman announces run in 3rd Congressional District". Minnesota Public Radio. Retrieved March 14, 2014.
^ Brucato, Cyndy (November 7, 2013). "Possible challenger to Paulsen surfaces". MinnPost. Retrieved January 27, 2014.
^ "Former WCCO-TV anchor Don Shelby won't run for Congress". Star Tribune. August 9, 2013. Retrieved January 27, 2014.
^ ^a ^b Henry, Devin (May 29, 2013). "Michele Bachmann announces she will not run for re-election". MinnPost. Retrieved May 29, 2013.
^ ^a ^b Salisbury, Bill (June 5, 2013). "Tom Emmer announces candidacy for Congress". Pioneer Press. Retrieved June 12, 2013.
^ ^a ^b Belden, Doug (June 12, 2013). "Bachmann's seat has 3rd contender: Rhonda Sivarajah, Anoka County commissioner". Pioneer Press. Retrieved June 12, 2013.
^ "Republican Phil Krinkie to run for Bachmann's Sixth District seat". Star Tribune. July 19, 2013. Retrieved January 29, 2014.
^ ^a ^b Galloway, Jim (November 6, 2013). "Running for Congress, in Georgia and three other states – at the same time". The Atlanta Journal-Constitution. Retrieved November 21, 2013.
^ Kimball, Joe (June 3, 2014). "Phil Krinkie drops out of GOP 6th District congressional race". MinnPost. Retrieved June 4, 2014.
^ Sommerhauser, Mark (January 3, 2014). "Pederson drops 6th District run, says he's undecided on whom to endorse". St. Cloud Times. Retrieved January 29, 2014.
^ Public Opinion Strategies (R-Emmer)
^ Henry, Devin (May 29, 2013). "Graves: Strategy won't change with Bachmann out of the race". MinnPost. Retrieved May 29, 2013.
^ ^a ^b Black, Eric (May 31, 2013). "With Bachmann not running, Jim Graves pulls out of 6th District race". MinnPost. Retrieved May 31, 2013.
^ ^a ^b Durkin, Mike (June 10, 2013). "Democrat Judy Adams jumps into 6th District race". KMSP-TV. Retrieved January 29, 2014.
^ ^a ^b Sommerhauser, Mark (January 14, 2014). "Perske makes run for 6th District seat official". St. Cloud Times. Retrieved January 27, 2014.
^ ^a ^b Budig, T.W. (November 1, 2013). "Political science professor enters 6th District race". Morrison County Record. Retrieved January 27, 2014.
^ ^a ^b ^c Sommerhauser, Mark (May 3, 2014). "Perske gets DFL endorsement in 6th District". St. Cloud Times. Retrieved August 11, 2014.
^ ^a ^b ^c "Young Gun candidates". gopyoungguns.com. Archived from the original on November 4, 2014. Retrieved February 15, 2023.
^ Neely, Brett (May 28, 2013). "GOP pokes at Peterson on healthcare and the IRS". Minnesota Public Radio. Retrieved June 10, 2013.
^ Wilson, Reid (May 23, 2013). "Parties Push For House Retirements". National Journal. Archived from the original on June 15, 2013. Retrieved June 10, 2013.
^ Neely, Brett (June 6, 2013). "Peterson says GOP efforts to push him out having the opposite effect". Minnesota Public Radio. Retrieved August 10, 2014.
^ ^a ^b Stassen-Berger, Rachel E. (March 17, 2014). "Democratic U.S. Rep. Collin Peterson will run again". Star Tribune. Retrieved March 18, 2014.
^ Henry, David (December 4, 2013). "State Sen. Torrey Westrom to challenge Collin Peterson". MinnPost. Retrieved January 29, 2014.
^ Tarrance Group (R-NRCC)
^ SurveyUSA
^ Tarrance Group (R-Westrom)
^ Global Strategy Group (D-Peterson)
^ Tarrance Group (R-Westrom)
^ Stassen-Berger, Rachel E. (June 25, 2013). "Mills Fleet Farm executive to vie for Congress". Star Tribune. Retrieved January 29, 2014.
^ "2014 Frontline Democrats". actblue.com. DCCC. Archived from the original on February 24, 2015. Retrieved April 15, 2023.
^ KSTP/SurveyUSA
^ Greenberg Quinlan Rosner (D-DCCC)

External links

[1] Ostermeier, Eric (November 13, 2014). "Minnesotans Elect Oldest Governor, US House Delegation in State History". Smart Politics.

[2] "Election Statistics: 1920 to Present | US House of Representatives: History, Art & Archives".

[clerk2014-3] Haas, Karen L. (March 9, 2015). "Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 4, 2014". Clerk of the U.S. House of Representatives. Retrieved October 28, 2019.

[primary-4] ^ ^a ^b ^c ^d ^e ^f ^g ^h "Results for All Congressional Districts, Primary Election". Minnesota Secretary of State. Retrieved August 20, 2014.

[benson-5] Carlson, Heather J. (June 17, 2013). "Benson to run for Congress against Walz". Post-Bulletin. Retrieved June 17, 2013.

[hagedorn-6] Baier, Elizabeth (September 4, 2013). "Hagedorn launches bid to challenge Walz". Minnesota Public Radio. Retrieved November 27, 2013.

[millerselected-7] Carlson, Heather J. (April 5, 2014). "Miller wins Republican endorsement". Post-Bulletin. Retrieved August 10, 2014.

[hagedornreentry-8] Moniz, Josh (May 18, 2014). "Hagedorn re-entering 1st District race". The Free Press. Retrieved May 20, 2014.

[miller-9] Juhl, Mary (June 15, 2013). "Thanks, but no thanks: Miller won't take on Walz in '14 but isn't ruling out future run". Winona Daily News. Retrieved January 27, 2014.

[today.yougov.com-10] ^ ^a ^b ^c ^d ^e ^f ^g ^h New York Times/CBS News Battleground Tracker

[Harper_Polling_R-Hagedorn-11] Harper Polling (R-Hagedorn)

[Cook-12] "2014 House Race Ratings for November 3, 2014". House: Race Ratings. Cook Political Report. Retrieved November 3, 2014.

[Rothenberg-13] "2014 House Ratings (October 24, 2014)". House Ratings. The Rothenberg Political Report. Retrieved October 24, 2014.

[Sabato-14] "2014 House". Sabato's Crystal Ball. April 10, 2014. Retrieved April 11, 2014.

[Kos-15] "Daily Kos Elections House race ratings: Initial ratings for 2014". Daily Kos Elections. Retrieved November 4, 2014.

[geresults-16] ^ ^a ^b ^c ^d ^e ^f ^g ^h "Results for All Congressional Districts, 2014". Minnesota Secretary of State. Retrieved January 8, 2015.

[gersonconcedes-17] Zdechlik, Mark (April 5, 2014). "Rep. John Kline endorsed for seventh term". Minnesota Public Radio. Retrieved August 11, 2014.

[kline-18] Stassen-Berger, Rachel E. (April 19, 2013). "Kline to seek re-election, not Senate or governor's office". Star Tribune. Retrieved April 22, 2013.

[gerson-19] Henry, Devin (December 9, 2013). "David Gerson launches second challenge to Kline". MinnPost. Retrieved January 27, 2014.

[several_7th-20] ^ ^a ^b ^c ^d ^e ^f ^g ^h ⁱ ^j ^k Cahn, Emily (September 18, 2013). "Minnesota Politicians Wait for Kline, Peterson Exits to Ascend". Roll Call. Retrieved January 27, 2014.

[Obermueller_endorsed-21] Salisbury, Bill (April 26, 2014). "Obermueller wins DFL bid to take on Kline". Pioneer Press. Retrieved August 11, 2014.

[mehring-22] Boldt, Megan (April 24, 2013). "CaringBridge founder Sona Mehring drops out of congressional race". Pioneer Press. Retrieved May 29, 2013.

[craft-23] Bierschbach, Briana (July 10, 2013). "Kline gets a second DFL challenger: Thomas Craft". Politics in Minnesota. Retrieved January 27, 2014.

[overby-24] Magan, Christopher (August 11, 2013). "Eagan woman doesn't want gender identity to define impending run for Congress". Pioneer Press. Retrieved January 27, 2014.

[mnsosusreps-25] ^ ^a ^b ^c ^d ^e ^f ^g ^h ⁱ "2014 State General Election Candidate Filings, U.S. Representatives". Minnesota Secretary of State. Retrieved August 11, 2014.

[overbyind-26] Magan, Christopher (June 9, 2014). "Independence Party endorses Paula Overby for Congress". Pioneer Press. Retrieved August 11, 2014.

[27] Mitchell, Corey (October 26, 2013). "Fierce re-election battle forecast for Kline". Star Tribune. Retrieved January 27, 2014.

[28] Remington Research Group

[29] Public Policy Polling

[paulsen-30] Diaz, Kevin (May 13, 2013). "U.S. Rep. Paulsen rules out run for Minnesota governor or U.S. Senate". Star Tribune. Retrieved May 29, 2013.

[31] Zdechlik, Mark (March 13, 2014). "Plymouth businesswoman announces run in 3rd Congressional District". Minnesota Public Radio. Retrieved March 14, 2014.

[lawrence-32] Brucato, Cyndy (November 7, 2013). "Possible challenger to Paulsen surfaces". MinnPost. Retrieved January 27, 2014.

[shelby-33] "Former WCCO-TV anchor Don Shelby won't run for Congress". Star Tribune. August 9, 2013. Retrieved January 27, 2014.

[bachmann-34] Henry, Devin (May 29, 2013). "Michele Bachmann announces she will not run for re-election". MinnPost. Retrieved May 29, 2013.

[emmer-35] Salisbury, Bill (June 5, 2013). "Tom Emmer announces candidacy for Congress". Pioneer Press. Retrieved June 12, 2013.

[Sivarajah-36] Belden, Doug (June 12, 2013). "Bachmann's seat has 3rd contender: Rhonda Sivarajah, Anoka County commissioner". Pioneer Press. Retrieved June 12, 2013.

[krinkie-37] "Republican Phil Krinkie to run for Bachmann's Sixth District seat". Star Tribune. July 19, 2013. Retrieved January 29, 2014.

[at_the_same_time-38] Galloway, Jim (November 6, 2013). "Running for Congress, in Georgia and three other states – at the same time". The Atlanta Journal-Constitution. Retrieved November 21, 2013.

[39] Kimball, Joe (June 3, 2014). "Phil Krinkie drops out of GOP 6th District congressional race". MinnPost. Retrieved June 4, 2014.

[pederson-40] Sommerhauser, Mark (January 3, 2014). "Pederson drops 6th District run, says he's undecided on whom to endorse". St. Cloud Times. Retrieved January 29, 2014.

[41] Public Opinion Strategies (R-Emmer)

[graves-42] Henry, Devin (May 29, 2013). "Graves: Strategy won't change with Bachmann out of the race". MinnPost. Retrieved May 29, 2013.

[graves_withdraw-43] Black, Eric (May 31, 2013). "With Bachmann not running, Jim Graves pulls out of 6th District race". MinnPost. Retrieved May 31, 2013.

[adams-44] Durkin, Mike (June 10, 2013). "Democrat Judy Adams jumps into 6th District race". KMSP-TV. Retrieved January 29, 2014.

[perske-45] Sommerhauser, Mark (January 14, 2014). "Perske makes run for 6th District seat official". St. Cloud Times. Retrieved January 27, 2014.

[read-46] Budig, T.W. (November 1, 2013). "Political science professor enters 6th District race". Morrison County Record. Retrieved January 27, 2014.

[perskeendorsed-47] Sommerhauser, Mark (May 3, 2014). "Perske gets DFL endorsement in 6th District". St. Cloud Times. Retrieved August 11, 2014.

[YG-48] "Young Gun candidates". gopyoungguns.com. Archived from the original on November 4, 2014. Retrieved February 15, 2023.

[49] Neely, Brett (May 28, 2013). "GOP pokes at Peterson on healthcare and the IRS". Minnesota Public Radio. Retrieved June 10, 2013.

[50] Wilson, Reid (May 23, 2013). "Parties Push For House Retirements". National Journal. Archived from the original on June 15, 2013. Retrieved June 10, 2013.

[51] Neely, Brett (June 6, 2013). "Peterson says GOP efforts to push him out having the opposite effect". Minnesota Public Radio. Retrieved August 10, 2014.

[cprunagain-52] Stassen-Berger, Rachel E. (March 17, 2014). "Democratic U.S. Rep. Collin Peterson will run again". Star Tribune. Retrieved March 18, 2014.

[westrom-53] Henry, David (December 4, 2013). "State Sen. Torrey Westrom to challenge Collin Peterson". MinnPost. Retrieved January 29, 2014.

[54] Tarrance Group (R-NRCC)

[55] SurveyUSA

[56] Tarrance Group (R-Westrom)

[57] Global Strategy Group (D-Peterson)

[58] Tarrance Group (R-Westrom)

[mills-59] Stassen-Berger, Rachel E. (June 25, 2013). "Mills Fleet Farm executive to vie for Congress". Star Tribune. Retrieved January 29, 2014.

[Frontline-60] "2014 Frontline Democrats". actblue.com. DCCC. Archived from the original on February 24, 2015. Retrieved April 15, 2023.

[61] KSTP/SurveyUSA

[62] Greenberg Quinlan Rosner (D-DCCC)

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