2026 South Australian state election
 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||||||||||
All 47 seats in the South Australian House of Assembly 24 seats are needed for a majority 11 (of the 22) seats in the South Australian Legislative Council | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Opinion polls | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||||||||||
.png)
The 2026 South Australian state election will be held on 21 March 2026 to elect members to the 56th Parliament of South Australia. All 47 seats in the House of Assembly (the lower house, whose members were elected at the 2022 election), and half the seats in the Legislative Council (the upper house, last filled at the 2018 election) are up for re-election.
The incumbent Labor government, currently led by Premier Peter Malinauskas, will attempt to win a second four-year term against the Liberal opposition.
South Australia has compulsory voting, uses full-preference instant-runoff voting for single-member electorates in the lower house, and optional preference single transferable voting in the proportionally represented upper house. The election will be conducted by the Electoral Commission of South Australia (ECSA), an independent body answerable to Parliament.
The election will be held on the same day as the South Australian First Nations Voice election.[1][2]
Background
[edit]At the 2022 election, South Australian Labor Party won government after spending four years in Opposition. The party, led by Peter Malinauskas, gained 8 seats to have a majority in the House of Assembly while the incumbent South Australian Liberal Party government, led by Premier Steven Marshall, saw a loss of nine seats including 3 from independents. Statewide, the Labor Party won 54.59% of the two-party preferred vote, which was a swing of over 6.5% compared to the previous election.[3][4][5]
In the Legislative Council, Labor won five seats, the Liberals won four and the Greens and One Nation both won one seat each. In total, the Labor government has nine seats and the Liberal opposition has eight seats, with five crossbenchers (the Greens and SA-Best have two seats each, while One Nation has one, held by Sarah Game).[3][4][5]
With the Liberal Upper House President unexpectedly re-elected to the Presidency, this gives the Labor government nine of 21 seats during votes on the floor, meaning that only an additional two non-government votes are required for the government to pass legislation.[3][4][5]
The 2022 Bragg state by-election and the 2024 Dunstan state by-election saw strengthened Labor votes.
The 2024 Black state by-election was held on 16 November, with Labor’s Alex Dighton comfortably winning the seat and it was second time Labor had gained a seat from the Liberals in a by-election after the Dunstan by-election. Resulting in the number of Liberal lower house seats being reduced to their worst parliamentary position in nearly a century. [6]
Pendulum and map
[edit]
Date
[edit]The last state election was held on 19 March 2022 to elect members for the House of Assembly and half of the members in the Legislative Council. In South Australia, section 28 of the Constitution Act 1934, as amended in 2001, directs that parliaments have fixed four-year terms, and elections must be held on the third Saturday in March every four years unless this date falls the day after Good Friday, occurs within the same month as a federal election, or the conduct of the election could be adversely affected by a state disaster. Section 28 also states that the Governor may also dissolve the Assembly and call an election for an earlier date if the government has lost the confidence of the Assembly or a bill of special importance has been rejected by the Legislative Council. Section 41 states that both the Council and the Assembly may also be dissolved simultaneously if a deadlock occurs between them.[7]
The Electoral (Miscellaneous) Amendment Act 2013 introduced set dates for writs for general elections in South Australia. The writ sets the dates for the close of the electoral roll and the close of nominations for an election. The Electoral Act 1985 requires that, for a general election, the writ be issued 28 days before the date fixed for polling (S47(2a)) and the electoral roll be closed at 12 noon, six days after the issue of the writ (S48(3(a)(i). The close of nominations will be at 12 noon three days after the close of rolls (Electoral Act 1985 S48(4)(a) and S4(1)).[8]
Opinion polling
[edit]Voting intention
[edit]House of Assembly
[edit]| Primary vote | ||
|---|---|---|
|
| Two-party preferred | ||
|---|---|---|
|
| Date | Firm | Primary vote | TPP vote | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ALP | LIB | GRN | ONP | SAB | OTH | ALP | LIB | ||
| 6–29 August 2024 | Wolf & Smith[9][10] | 41% | 28% | 11% | 5% | - | 15% | 60% | 40% |
| 12 August 2024 Vincent Tarzia becomes Liberal leader | |||||||||
| 11–20 September 2022 | Dynata[11] | 34% | 34% | 13% | 5% | 6% | 8% | 53% | 47% |
| 19 March 2022 election | 39.97% | 35.67% | 9.12% | 2.63% | 0.20% | 12.41% | 54.59% | 45.10% | |
Legislative Council
[edit]| Primary vote | ||
|---|---|---|
|
| Date | Firm | Primary vote | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ALP | LIB | GRN | ONP | SAB | OTH | ||
| 11–20 September 2022 | Dynata[11] | 35% | 32% | 13% | 4% | 7% | 9% |
| 19 March 2022 election | 36.96% | 34.38% | 9.03% | 4.23% | 1.05% | 14.38% | |
Leadership approval
[edit]| Date | Firm | Preferred Premier | Malinauskas | Speirs | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Malinauskas | Speirs | Undecided | Satisfied | Dissatisfied | Undecided | Satisfied | Dissatisfied | Undecided | ||
| March 2023 | Dynata[11] | — | — | — | 74% | 13% | 13% | 51% | 19% | 30% |
Retiring MPs
[edit]Liberal
[edit]- David Pisoni MHA (Unley) – announced 8 October 2024[12]
Greens
[edit]- Tammy Franks MLC – announced 30 September 2024[13]
See also
[edit]- Members of the South Australian House of Assembly, 2022–2026
- Members of the South Australian Legislative Council, 2022–2026
References
[edit]- ^ "Key dates". 2024 South Australian First Nations Voice election.
- ^ "SA First Nations Voice election results show low turnout, but candidate urges 'give us a chance'". ABC News.
- ^ a b c "Drama in SA parliament as Liberal investigated by ICAC returned to top position". ABC News. 3 May 2022.
- ^ a b c "'Beggars belief': Labor coup sidelines Libs, crossbench". 3 May 2022.
- ^ a b c "SA 2022 – Legislative Council Result Finalised". Antony Green's Election Blog. 27 April 2022.
- ^ Hough, Andrew; McGuire, Michael (17 November 2024). "'Boils my p***': Libs fear election Black out after poll whitewash". The Advertiser.
- ^ "Australian elections timetable". Australian Parliamentary Library. Retrieved 5 February 2013.
- ^ "Electoral (Miscellaneous) Amendment Act 2013". South Australia Legislation. Government of South Australia. 2013. Retrieved 27 March 2023.
- ^ "Polls: Resolve Strategic, RedBridge/Accent MRP poll, Wolf & Smith federal and state (open thread) – The Poll Bludger". www.pollbludger.net. Retrieved 9 September 2024.
- ^ "Federal & State Political Poll" (PDF). wolf+smith. August 2024. p. 27.
- ^ a b c "Poll shows Labor's honeymoon not over". 28 September 2022.
- ^ Starick, Paul (8 October 2024). "Former Liberal minister David Pisoni expected to be replaced in Unley by Rosalie Rotolo-Hassan". The Advertiser. Retrieved 8 October 2024.
- ^ Franks, Tammy [@TammyMLC] (30 September 2024). "SA Greens nominations for the LegCo preselection open today. I've enjoyed much of my time in #saparli but I won't be going for a further term" (Tweet). Archived from the original on 30 September 2024. Retrieved 30 September 2024 – via Twitter.